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Finance & Markets

A Dropoff in Manufacturing Employment?

From the ADP release: Figure 1: Change in manufacturing employment since 2025M01 from BLS (blue), preliminary benchmark revision from BLS (light blue square), from ADP (green). Orange shading denotes post-Liberation Day period. Source: BLS, ADP via FRED, BLS, and author’s calculations. Private NFP doesn’t show a dropoff, but growth didn’t match expectations (+38K vs. +47K Bloomberg consensus): […]

A Dropoff in Manufacturing Employment?

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Consumer Inflation Rebounds to 3.1% in August

The consumer inflation rate rebounded to 3.1% in August, returning to the 3% range after easing to 2.8% a month earlier. The increase came despite a slowdown in petroleum price growth and declines in…

  • Consumer inflation in August rose to 3.1%, returning to the 3% range
  • Mobile phone charges surged 26.7%, the largest annual increase since 2021
  • Agricultural prices fell 2.6%, reducing overall inflation by 0.21 percentage points

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