The Pacific Islands Forum contains so much flexing, it's a geopolitical workout

The annual Pacific Islands Forum Leaders Meeting commenced in Palau, but it has already been marred by controversy. Notably, five of the 18 member nations are absent, which has raised questions about China's role in their withdrawal. New Zealand's Foreign Minister Winston Peters deemed the collective absence "highly suspicious," though he did not make any direct accusations.

This meeting is crucial for Pacific diplomatic architecture, providing a platform to champion a Pacific agenda. However, non-attendance has become increasingly common, often attributed to domestic politics. For instance, Solomon Islands Prime Minister Matthew Wale returned home to handle a no-confidence motion. The absence of leaders could be influenced by China, which has threatened consequences regarding Taiwan's participation.

Despite the forum's importance, the theme "Building Economies: Life. Action. Unity" appears shaky, as unity is being challenged by external forces and internal divisions. Geopolitical factors, such as China's growing assertiveness and Australia's successful bilateral approach, are causing unrest in the region. While Australia's aid budget may be divided between infrastructure and capacity-building, China's approach benefits elites and is politically advantageous.

The Pacific's unity is crucial for advancing its agenda, as the wellbeing of Pacific islanders has been adversely affected by global disruptions, requiring coordinated regional action.