Gold steadies as traders await US jobs data, monitor Mideast tensions
Gold prices held steady as traders navigated heightened tensions in the Middle East and awaited pivotal labor data from the US. This economic data is expected to shape the market's forecast regarding Federal Reserve policy moves. With a 65% likelihood of a rate increase in September, market eyes are keen.
Gold prices declined on Tuesday as investors monitored Middle East tensions and anticipated upcoming US labor market data. Spot gold fell 0.3% to $4,437.10 per ounce by 0235 GMT, after falling to its lowest level since August 19 in the previous session. US gold futures rose 0.1% to $4,485.30. Key US economic data to be released this week includes job openings, the ADP employment report, and nonfarm payrolls data, which will be closely watched for insights into labor market health and the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook.
Spot gold had reached a three-month high last week before plummeting more than 3% on Friday following comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who stated that the Fed would "have work to do" if policymakers fail to demonstrate confidence that inflation is moving towards the 2% target. Gold has been affected by Powell's hawkish speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, rising oil prices due to heightened tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, and elevated inflation expectations.
Analyst Tony Sycamore noted that a single rate hike would not significantly impact gold, but multiple hikes could influence market sentiment. At present, the probability of a US rate increase in September is 66%, while the likelihood in December stands at 89%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. While gold is viewed as a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates generally diminish its appeal by enhancing the attractiveness of income-generating assets.
President Donald Trump expressed respect for Powell and stated that he will "do what he has to do" concerning interest rates. Trump also warned of further strikes against Iran following a recent escalation in hostilities, contributing to geopolitical tensions in a conflict that has recently evolved into an economic standoff. Other precious metals experienced slight gains, with spot silver up 0.3% at $66.34 per ounce, platinum rising 0.1% to $1,793.03, and palladium remaining flat at $1,356.75.
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