China Wants to Push Taiwan out of the Pacific

China is pushing Taiwan out of the Pacific, a move that has sparked concern among Pacific nations. Taiwan and China returned to the annual Pacific Islands Forum Leaders Meeting, but Beijing was not pleased. China's special envoy described Taiwan's participation as "very inappropriate" and warned of consequences. While no Pacific country switched recognition in 2026, China's pressure campaign was more systematic and intense than ever since Nauru changed ties in 2024.

Beijing enforces the "One China" principle, which asserts that Taiwan is part of China, limiting Taiwan's international space is a constant priority. Taiwan defends its sovereignty by maintaining and expanding its diplomatic presence. Competition across the Taiwan Strait occurs when countries switch recognition from Taiwan to China, but Beijing wants continuous affirmation of the One China principle, institutional support beyond the government, and actions to limit Taiwan's presence.

China engages with Pacific governments, political parties, and party organizations to secure support for the principle. Countries like Papua New Guinea and the Federated States of Micronesia have closed Taiwan's trade offices, aligning with China's interests. China's embassies in the Pacific frequently remind officials of their commitment to the One China principle.

Opposition leaders in Pacific nations urge governments to stick to the One China principle, and governments often respond by affirming their adherence. For example, Papua New Guinea's government closed Taiwan's trade office, citing its longstanding One China policy. China's ambassador to PNG praised the move, stating that it would enhance China-PNG relations.

Other Pacific governments, such as Micronesia and Kiribati, have also taken steps to bolster their support for Beijing's One China principle, from constitutional amendments to diplomatic moves.