AI Disruption Has Plenty of Opinions. Now It Has a Prediction Market.

Everyone’s heard the Sherlock Holmes story about the dog that didn’t bark, referring to a missing clue that cracked the case. Similarly, there are numerous "dogs that don’t bark" in the AI economy, where AI's impact is not immediately visible through paper trails or receipts. These include missed doctor appointments, unanswered support tickets, and replaced software subscriptions.

Measuring the AI economy's disruption is challenging, as the effects are often invisible and difficult to quantify. To address this, PYMNTS and Crypto.com have introduced AI Prediction Market Contracts, enabling trading on the less visible aspects of AI's economic influence. The contracts, which will be listed and traded by OG Prediction Markets, the CFTC-regulated exchange, will settle against PYMNTS Intelligence data, which comprises continuous measurement of consumer, enterprise, and public company behavior.

This data is collected monthly from 4,000 U.S. consumers, ensuring statistical representation across various demographics. By pricing and trading these missed AI disruptions, investors and business leaders can gain insights into how the AI economy might evolve before it becomes apparent through traditional transaction records.