Bill Emmott: Japan should start preparing for a post-Putin opportunity
By Bill Emmott, independent writer, lecturer and international affairs consultantOne lesson from the history of the Soviet Union is that dictatorships
Bill Emmott, an independent writer, lecturer, and international affairs consultant, argues that Japan should begin preparing for the possibility of a post-Putin Russia. His reasoning is rooted in history, drawing parallels between the Soviet Union and the current Russian regime. Despite Putin's efforts to stifle dissent, there are signs of growing discontent among the elite, which could potentially lead to regime change.
The Japanese government, while not able to influence Putin directly, could explore ways to capitalize on a post-Putin situation, should it occur. This could potentially involve improved relations with Japan, particularly regarding Russia's stance on the Northern Territories. The current stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine war, coupled with Ukraine's resilience and democratic values, further underscores the potential for change in Moscow.
While the likelihood of a post-Putin Russia is currently low, it is a possibility worth preparing for.
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