Poland: Growth supported by investment rebound – ING
ING’s Adam Antoniak expects Poland’s 2Q26 GDP flash estimate to be confirmed at 3.8% year-on-year, with fixed investment rebounding strongly thanks to EU and RRF-funded projects. Private consumption is seen slowing slightly as higher fuel prices and weaker wage growth weigh on purchasing power.
Poland's economy is projected to grow by 3.8% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, according to ING's Adam Antoniak. This growth is driven by a rebound in fixed investment, fueled by EU and Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) projects. Private consumption is expected to slow slightly due to higher fuel prices and weaker wage growth, with August CPI projected at 3.1% year-on-year. Core inflation is expected to remain stable at 3.1%.
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