See what traders are predicting will be said by Fed Chair Warsh at Jackson Hole
The US Dollar (USD) has been fluctuating within a narrow range on Thursday, unable to capitalize on the gains from the previous day and briefly touching multi-day highs. Amidst the geopolitical tensions, investors remain focused on Friday's revision of US Nonfarm Payrolls and the speech by Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh, at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has managed to uphold the weekly recovery, aiming to surpass the 99.00 threshold. Improved US Treasury yields and consistent geopolitical uncertainty have fueled the uptrend. Upcoming events on the US calendar include the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls Annual Revision, the final U-Mich Consumer Sentiment reading, and Warsh's address at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
The EUR/USD has been on a downward trend, nearing its 200-day Simple Moving Average, but managed to recover above 1.1650 eventually. On a local level, Germany's employment data and the final Eurozone Consumer Confidence readings, along with ECB Chair Jens Schnabel's speech, will be closely watched. GBP/USD has fallen to new multi-day lows, nearing 1.3570 before bouncing back and reaching the 1.3600 region.
The next British market event will be the release of the Nationwide Housing Prices figure. USD/JPY has continued its weekly recovery, marking the fourth consecutive day and nearing the 159.50 level. In Japan, the key economic data to watch will be the Unemployment Rate, Consumer Confidence, Housing Starts, Construction Orders, and inflation figures.
In Australia, traders are awaiting the quarterly Business Inventories, Housing Credit, and Private Sector Credit data, scheduled for August 31. WTI's price has rebounded past the $83.00 mark, often closely following Middle East crisis developments. Gold has followed the trend of Wednesday's decline, trading near the $4,560 mark and four-day lows, due to the US Dollar's volatility, rising US Treasury yields, and cautious sentiment before the Jackson Hole event.
Born and raised in Argentina, journalist Pablo has been immersed in the FX markets and trading since his college days. Despite a six-day low at the beginning, GBP/USD is showing signs of recovery and trading near the 1.3600 barrier on Thursday. The overall cautious market sentiment supports the Greenback ahead of Friday's data releases and Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole.
EUR/USD is attempting to regain balance, recovering some losses and returning to the mid-1.1600s on Thursday. The pullback follows slight gains in the US Dollar, as traders now focus on Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls revision and Warsh's address at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Gold has continued its decline from Wednesday, nearing the $4,600 mark on Thursday, but remains cautious due to widespread uncertainty and unclear direction for the US Dollar.
Cryptocurrency prices are generally increasing on Thursday, driven by Bitcoin's rise near $80,000. Ethereum is trading above $2,500, while Ripple has surpassed its significant $1.40 support. Oil prices have appeared calmer than before, but diesel's spread against WTI has surged to record levels above $100 per barrel, driven by US diesel crack spread.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will deliver his first speech at Jackson Hole on Friday, where expectations extend beyond rate changes in September.
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