IMF Flags Three Risks for Ecuador’s Economy in Second Half of 2026
The IMF's resident representative in Ecuador, Carlos Cáceres, told a business meeting the Fund sees three risks for the second half of 2026: power blackouts, insecurity and a possible El Niño. The sixth review of Ecuador's program is expected around 15 September 2026. The post IMF Flags Three Risks for Ecuador’s Economy in Second Half of 2026 appeared first on The Rio Times .
The International Monetary Fund has identified power blackouts, insecurity and a potential El Niño event as the three primary risks facing Ecuador's economy during the second half of 2026. IMF resident representative Carlos Cáceres disclosed this assessment during a business meeting on 21 August 2026, shortly before the Fund's sixth review of Ecuador's program is expected on 15 September 2026.
The three risks were outlined in the verbal briefing, which was reported by La Hora on the same day. Power blackouts, known locally as apagones, are projected to reoccur as the dry season advances. Insecurity remains a concern for the country, while a potential El Niño event in the final months of the year is also flagged as a possible risk.
The IMF's concerns encompass both domestic conditions, such as security and power supply, as well as an external climate variable beyond the government's control.
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