트럼프는 한반도에 득이 될까 [세계의 창]

Donald Trump, the former U.S. President, has been considering whether North Korea could benefit from the country's relationship with South Korea. During his recent administration, Trump had reduced the frequency and scale of joint military exercises between the U.S. and South Korea, including the UFS (United States-South Korea) training.

He claimed that these exercises were unduly costly and "completely inappropriate and hostile" toward North Korea. Another reason was South Korea's insufficient support for the U.S.-Israel war.

Trump's disrespectful attitude was further fueled by his criticism of South Korea for not supporting the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in sending ships to the North Sea. Meanwhile, North Korea had turned to Iran's side shortly after any initial attack. However, despite North Korea's strong alliance with Iran and its repeated hostile rhetoric, Trump continued to display unconditional friendship with Kim Jong-un, the North Korean leader.

This behavior was not a departure from Trump's previous actions to secure agreements with North Korea, nor was it a significant change.

Even after suspending the U.S.-South Korea military exercises, North Korea did not abandon its nuclear weapons program. The current South Korean government, led by a progressive president, also seeks a better relationship with North Korea. Trump's reaction to the announcement was positively surprised, suggesting that he might encourage this direction.

The reduction in U.S. military training participation could potentially re-engage North Korea in regional dialogues proposed by the president. However, this speculation overlooks North Korea's perspective. Kim Jong-un does not trust any democratic country that alternates between different political parties, and he sees no reason to trust the West, given their inconsistent stances and leadership changes under various presidents.

Trump's inconsistent behavior towards allies such as Canada, Denmark, Ukraine, Gaza, and Iran further undermines North Korea's trust in him. North Korea has already experienced progressive South Korean leaders coming and going. The size and influence of progressive powers in South Korea demand a significant increase in defense spending.

Additionally, these South Korean leaders have consistently followed U.S. military decisions. Despite Trump's excellent policy proposals, his influence on South-North relations was minimal. North Korea's approach to determining the mood and actions in Washington and Pyongyang is significant. Currently, Kim Jong-un prefers Moscow and Beijing's predictable policies over Washington and Seoul's fluctuating rhetoric.

However, the situation may change in the future, but it is unlikely that Trump's words and actions will be the primary cause of this change.