Lula’s Lead Over Flávio Bolsonaro Has Halved in Five Weeks
Politics: Brazil Key Facts —Where the race stands. Datafolha on 21 August put Lula on 39% and Flávio Bolsonaro on 33%. —How fast it is closing. Lula led by 12 points in mid-July. Quaest now has seven, Datafolha six. —The catch: Quaest’s 14 August runoff was 43% to 40% — a tie inside the margin […] The post Lula’s Lead Over Flávio Bolsonaro Has Halved in Five Weeks appeared first on The Rio Times .
Brazil's presidential race has seen Lula's lead over Flávio Bolsonaro shrink from 12 points to just 7 points in five weeks, according to the latest Datafolha poll from 21 August. In mid-July, Lula led by 12 points, but the current gap is only 7 points. The main challenger, Flávio Bolsonaro, is the eldest son of the ineligible and incarcerated former president Jair Bolsonaro, who endorsed him to carry the family's far-right banner.
Former governors Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado, as well as anti-establishment outsider Renan Santos, are also in the race. The first round of the election is scheduled for 4 October, with a potential runoff on 25 October if no candidate secures over 50% of the votes.
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