Datafolha State Polls: Big Leads in São Paulo, Rio and Minas
Three states, three clear front-runners, and one race already tested for a runoff. The post Datafolha State Polls: Big Leads in São Paulo, Rio and Minas appeared first on The Rio Times .
The latest Datafolha state polls indicate strong frontrunners in three of Brazil's most populous states ahead of the October elections. In São Paulo, incumbent Governor Tarcísio de Freitas leads with 45% support, closely followed by Fernando Haddad at 27%. If a runoff were held, Tarcísio would win 54% to Haddad's 35%. The poll, conducted between August 18-19 with 1,610 respondents, has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
In Rio de Janeiro, Mayor Eduardo Paes leads with 41%, trailed by Douglas Ruas at 19% and Anthony Garotinho at 9%. The survey, conducted August 18-21 with 1,204 participants, has a 3 percentage point margin of error. In Minas Gerais, Cleitinho Azevedo leads the first round with 32% support. The poll, conducted August 18-20 with 1,204 respondents, also has a 3 point margin of error, though no runoff figures were released.
While the leads in São Paulo are very significant due to the small margin of error, the leads in Rio and Minas are not insurmountable. All three states will have runoffs as no candidate received more than 50% in the first round. These Datafolha polls provide a snapshot of voter intentions in key states, with the results widely reported by major media outlets Folha and TV Globo.
Brazilian law requires all published polls to be registered with the electoral court, ensuring transparency.
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