Tadej Pogacar will win the Vuelta a Espana. Here’s why you should still watch it
IN DEPTH: It feels inevitable Pogacar will complete the grand tour set, Flo Clifford writes, but there remains plenty that is harder to predict about what should still be a fascinating edition of La Vuelta
Barring any unforeseen mishaps, Tadej Pogacar will undoubtedly be crowned the champion of the upcoming Vuelta a Espana, donning the coveted red jersey. This Spanish cycling classic is set to commence in three weeks' time, with the Slovenian cyclist returning to a race he has yet to claim victory in after a seven-year hiatus. Pogacar's ascent to prominence began when he claimed third place in the 2019 Vuelta, clinching three stages and the prestigious Best Young Rider's jersey.
It was in 2020 that he broke the mold, dethroning Primoz Roglic on the penultimate stage of the Tour de France to secure his first grand tour triumph, subsequently following it up with a string of six more victories in subsequent races.
The peloton currently lacks any credible contender to challenge Pogacar, especially on a route seemingly designed to suit his strengths. Felix Gall, second at the Giro d'Italia, brings valuable experience to the mountainous stages, but his time trial abilities will be tested against the clock. Roglic, now 36, may be nearing the end of his career, and his recent car accident could have further impacted his preparation.
While surprises are commonplace in three-week races, the likelihood of Pogacar falling victim to an unprecedented collapse or serious injury remains slim. Jonas Vingegaard, known for his resilience, had to withdraw from this year's Tour and subsequently retire due to a broken collarbone, but he may still be capable of posing a challenge to Pogacar. However, the odds are heavily in favor of the two-time world champion.
For his rivals, the path to victory may be more challenging, particularly given the heat and humidity in southern Spain, which could expose vulnerabilities within UAE Team Emirates-XRG. Nonetheless, the team's performance in the 2023 Vuelta proves they are capable of mounting a strong challenge. Meanwhile, Jay Vine's return from a crash in the Giro d'Italia and Joao Almeida's first grand tour of the season add intrigue to the lineup.
The stage may shift towards Pogacar as a steadfast pillar, rallying his teammates to achievements of their own. Regardless of the outcome, the Vuelta a Espana offers a wealth of captivating storylines beyond the race for those who crave unpredictable drama.
Written by urgent.news from Yahoo Sports's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.