Japan lawmakers to visit China in bid to cool row, but thaw unlikely: experts

A delegation of Japanese lawmakers, including members from both the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the opposition Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA), is set to visit China from August 24 to 27 in an effort to ease tensions between the two nations. This marked "semi-official" diplomatic effort is unlikely to result in a thaw in relations, according to Chinese experts.

The Japanese delegation will meet with officials from China's Communist Party diplomatic arm, but the visit is more about managing the crisis than signaling a thaw in bilateral ties.

The timing of the visit is significant as Japan's relations with China have soured since Chinese President Xi Jinping told the Japanese parliament in November that a military attack or naval blockade by Beijing on Taiwan could constitute a survival-threatening situation for Japan. This declaration has deepened concerns over China's intentions towards Taiwan, a self-governing island that Beijing considers a breakaway province.

The visit comes amid ongoing tensions, including Beijing's restrictions on rare earth exports and dual-use items to Japan, as well as Tokyo's defense build-up and military cooperation with the United States and regional partners.

The cross-party composition of the delegation suggests that the push for improved relations is not driven by a single political faction but represents a shared aspiration within Japan's political landscape. Chinese experts view the visit as a positive signal, indicating that both countries are seeking to restore communication channels and prevent further deterioration in relations.

However, they caution that achieving a thaw in bilateral ties will require addressing key issues such as Taiwan and security, and avoiding provocative actions that could further strain the relationship.