Can the Liberals topple Victoria's government at the state election?

The Victorian state election is approaching rapidly, with the Liberal and National parties potentially poised to overthrow the Labor government. Despite being in opposition for a decade, recent polls indicate One Nation could play a significant role in the poll on November 28. To govern unassisted, the Coalition would need to secure all existing seats and win a minimum of 16 more.

Labor is vulnerable in various regions, with Melbourne's west, north-west, and eastern suburbs facing increased chances of flipping to the Coalition or One Nation. The Greens are also targeting Labor in inner-city seats. Labor's leadership change from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll might sway voters, particularly in regional areas where the party has traditionally held strongholds.

The Coalition, led by Jess Wilson, is optimistic about retaking government, but faces threats from One Nation, which is gaining traction in regional communities. The Nationals, however, believe their incumbents will retain their seats. Labor has identified several seats, such as Richmond, Northcote, and Footscray, as crucial for a potential majority government.

If the Greens manage to retake Prahran, the Coalition will need to secure an additional 17 seats to maintain power.