"Zaporizhian Sich 2.0" could become Ukraine’s core positioning in Europe

As Ukraine approaches its Independence Day, the United Ukraine think tank urges reflection on aspects beyond electoral cycles, focusing instead on the nation's future post-war, the challenges elite leaders will face, and viable solutions for implementation. Even with secured security guarantees, Russia's threats will persist for years, necessitating a strategic approach.

Diplomats' task is to assure Europeans that ending the conflict does not escalate risks to their countries; instead, preserving Ukraine's military strength becomes crucial for mutual security. This concept, reminiscent of the Zaporizhian Host, echoes Spartan militarism or the Israeli porcupine strategy, emphasizing deterrent capabilities.

Western governments view Ukraine's armed forces as a safeguard for their security, potentially deploying Ukrainian units in combat missions, particularly in the Baltic theater. While financial aid is crucial, targeted projects backed by loan guarantees or individual country assistance are more likely, given the shrinking pool of funds for major reconstruction plans.

International assets, though significant, are partially pledged, leaving room for debt restructuring and potential debt forgiveness, given the burdensome annual debt servicing. A key strategy involves strengthening military leaders' roles and promoting military backgrounds in public office, with society's trust in veterans. However, a new democracy will likely remain under tighter security and less pluralistic for an extended period, with potential restrictions on freedoms.

Corruption remains a significant issue, necessitating innovative approaches, such as a pact among elites to curb corruption, alongside limiting investment opportunities in restricted sectors. The strategy must balance national security with economic prosperity, ensuring that national interests and elite agreements align to foster a resilient and secure Ukraine.