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Why are Germany's gas storage levels so low?

Germany's gas storage facilities are only 50% full as traders bet that wholesale prices will fall if the Iran war ends. With around three months until winter, DW asks whether the country can refill its reserves in time.

As of mid-August, Germany's gas storage levels remain alarmingly low, hovering around 50% capacity, a stark decline from previous years. The decline is largely attributed to the ongoing conflict in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical energy chokepoint, which has disrupted global gas supply chains. Historically, Germany's underground natural gas stores have been significantly higher in mid-August, with this year's level being the lowest in several years.

This scarcity of gas storage is more than 45 percentage points lower than in 2023 and 2024, a year marked by robust contingency plans due to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. In response, policymakers have been urging private energy trading firms to increase gas storage levels, but market dynamics suggest that this goal is becoming increasingly difficult to achieve.

The benchmark Dutch TTF gas price has surged to around €65 per megawatt-hour, nearly double the level from the same period last year, due to renewed tensions between the US and Iran. While Germany has diversified its gas supply through increased LNG imports and pipeline gas supplies from Norway, market forces and investor sentiment around pricing have made it challenging to fill storage facilities earlier than usual.

The lack of a sufficient incentive to fill storage facilities ahead of winter, combined with higher prices for natural gas and LNG on world markets, has left Germany's gas storage levels vulnerable. Consumer advocacy groups warn of potential higher gas prices this winter, urging consumers to consider fixed-price contracts to mitigate potential increases.

Despite these challenges, Germany maintains that its gas supply remains secure, citing new LNG sources since the 2022/23 energy crisis.

Written by urgent.news from DW English (Business)'s reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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