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Brazil’s Dario Durigan Pledges a Fiscal Squeeze if Lula Wins Again

Brazil's finance minister told Exame that a fourth Lula government would keep the arcabouco spending rule and sustain a fiscal effort worth about 2% of GDP. The post Brazil’s Dario Durigan Pledges a Fiscal Squeeze if Lula Wins Again appeared first on The Rio Times .

Brazil’s Finance Minister Dario Durigan has pledged a fiscal squeeze if incumbent President Luiz Inacio Lula wins another term. In an interview with Exame, Durigan said the spending framework could withstand a fourth Lula government, with mandatory outlays identified as the first target. He estimated this effort would amount to roughly 2% of GDP.

Durigan also vowed to keep the country's spending framework intact, emphasizing the importance of controlling mandatory spending such as pensions, health, education, and wage-linked benefits. The finance minister admitted that Brazil's fiscal side needs improvement, as the country's gross government debt reached 81.9% of GDP in June 2026.

This debt level, the highest in years, is expected to compound interest costs. Durigan's commitment to a 2% fiscal squeeze contrasts with opposition candidates' promises of deeper cuts and a smaller state. Investors are now focusing on whether the 2027 budget bill will actually restrain mandatory spending or rely on new revenue.

The upcoming presidential election, with the first round set for October 4, 2026, will determine the extent of this fiscal policy.

Written by urgent.news from The Rio Times's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

Read the original at riotimesonline.com →

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