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United Russia lands the top spot on ballots in 21 of the country’s 39 regions in September. The odds of that happening randomly? 0.00000378%.

The ruling United Russia party drew the top spot on the ballot in 21 of 39 regions — more than half — where voters will elect regional parliaments in September 2026, the Yabloko party said.

United Russia lands the top spot on ballots in 21 of the country’s 39 regions in September. The odds of that happening randomly? 0.00000378%.

In the upcoming September 2026 regional elections across Russia, the ruling United Russia party secured the top spot on the ballot in 21 out of the 39 regions, according to the Yabloko party. Ivan Bolshakov, head of Yabloko’s analytical center, stated that the probability of this outcome occurring randomly, assuming fair conditions, is an extremely low 0.00000378%.

Comparing this to winning Sportloto, Russia’s state lottery, Bolshakov emphasized that it would be far more probable to win that lottery. He described this outcome as a significant statistical anomaly, calling it "pure fantasy." United Russia also secured the top position on the ballot for the State Duma elections, the lower house of Russia’s parliament.

Yabloko occupied the second position, but the party was removed from the race by Russia’s Supreme Court. Meduza, the news outlet reporting this, confirms the story was written by a human journalist and translated from Russian using an AI model, with the English version subjected to an editor’s review before publication.

Written by urgent.news from Meduza (English)'s reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

Read the original at meduza.io →

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