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Some fertility and AI forecasts

The 2024 forecast is particularly pessimistic about China’s fertility prospects. Both projections produce very substantial global aging, a major global capital glut producing very low long-run real…

  • China's fertility prospects forecast significant global aging by 2100.
  • US global GDP share projected to increase from 11.2% to 14.4% by 2100.
  • AI development pace crucially influences demographic trends and economic dominance.

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