Dollar range-bound as markets price dovish Fed response

The U.S. dollar remained relatively stable against major currencies on Tuesday as investors anticipated a cautious stance from the Federal Reserve following weaker economic indicators. The euro dropped slightly after reaching a two-month high, and market expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September shifted towards a near 70% chance of a rate hold.

The dovishness of the Fed following softer economic data and fewer job losses led to this market positioning. Eugene Epstein, head of structured products for Moneycorp North America, noted that the market's interpretation of a dovish response had set the current dollar levels. Meanwhile, the dollar showed gains against the Swiss franc and weakened against the Japanese yen, while the Australian dollar declined slightly.

Analysts highlighted the impact of inflation fallout, particularly the joint U.S. and Japanese intervention that affected the yen, and ongoing geopolitical tensions, which contributed to the uncertainty surrounding inflation and the Fed's interest rate decisions.