Kharif crops' productivity at risk as monsoon trough shifts, widespread regional variations
Soybean, maize, paddy and other kharif crops are now entering the growth stages that determine final yields with an erratic monsoon in tow.
India's kharif crops face potential yield risks as the southwest monsoon's moisture supply dwindles, according to the latest data from the India Meteorological Department (IMD). As of August 13, India experienced a 12% rainfall deficit compared to the long-term average, despite widespread showers in the initial weeks of August. This deficit has remained stagnant, with forecasts predicting further weakening of rainfall through the month.
Key kharif crops like soybean, maize, paddy, tur, and cotton are now entering crucial growth stages that determine final yields. Agriculture ministry data indicates that kharif crops were sown over an area 2% lower than the previous year, with specific decreases in acreage for rice, tur, maize, cotton, and sugarcane. The uneven monsoon distribution has led to significant regional variations, with central India almost eliminating its rainfall deficit, while east and northeast India remain 27% below normal.
Agriculture experts warn that the uneven monsoon could lead to reduced yields if crops do not receive adequate moisture during critical growth stages.
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