Byron Donalds' Chances of Winning Florida GOP Primary: Final Primary Polls

Byron Donalds is poised to win the Republican primary for Florida governor, with overwhelming support from major polls and prediction markets. Prediction markets awarded him a 97 to 99 percent chance of victory, with Jay Collins and James Fishback taking most of the remaining share. Polls conducted by Quantus Insights, Targoz Market Research, and The Political Matrix and The Listener Group all show Donalds leading Collins by large margins, with Fishback trailing behind.

Donalds out-raised his opponents, reporting over $10 million in contributions, compared to under $1 million for each of his remaining opponents. Collins, the lieutenant governor appointed by Governor DeSantis, has positioned himself as the underdog, arguing that endorsements and money don't matter to voters. Fishback, a first-time candidate, has faced a residency challenge and accused Donalds of being under federal investigation, a claim denied by the Department of Justice.

While the primary may be decided, the general election remains uncertain, with recent polls showing Donalds leading Democratic frontrunner David Jolly, but also showing that another Republican could perform better against him. Donalds' strength among independents could be a weakness, as he trails Jolly by a significant margin among that group.

However, Donalds' campaign operation and larger lead in the primary give him an advantage, but the race remains to be seen on Election Day.