Troops from North Korea to boost Russia's Ukraine forces

In late 2024, North Korea dispatched thousands of troops to bolster Russia's fight against Ukraine in the Kursk region. International estimates suggest between 14,000 and 15,000 North Korean soldiers initially joined the Russian effort. Ukrainian intelligence now believes an additional 30,000 to 50,000 troops may be on their way.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy expressed concern that North Korea's improved combat experience could pose a security threat not only to Ukraine but also to the Asia-Pacific region. Experts have differing opinions on the potential impact of these new troops. Some, like military analyst Ruslan Leviev, argue that Russia has enough troops without needing foreign assistance, while others, such as Kovalenko, believe the additional forces could help secure Russia's border territories and free up Russian forces for more critical battles.

Diplomatically, Leviev notes that North Korea's presence in Russia and Ukraine's territory are two distinct concepts. The economist Janis Kluge of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs supports the notion that Russia still has enough troops, as its front-line forces have been active since mid-July. Meanwhile, intelligence on North Korea's missile capabilities, including the KN-23 and KN-24, is more certain.

Ukraine's intelligence has confirmed the delivery of 148 KN-23 and KN-24 missiles since 2025, with one reportedly striking a home in Kryvyi Rih, killing five people. Although some experts believe Russia may be running low on missile reserves, they also suggest that the additional North Korean missiles could be used to spread terror.