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Iron Ore Wrap: Vale Falls Despite Firmer China Steel Data

Vale's New York shares slipped while the global iron ore benchmark firmed slightly on Chinese steel output and imports. Read the full driver analysis. The post Iron Ore Wrap: Vale Falls Despite Firmer China Steel Data appeared first on The Rio Times .

The price of global iron ore benchmark edged up by 0.13% to US$95.17 per metric ton on Friday, August 14, 2026, despite a decline in shares of major mining companies. Vale's shares on the New York Stock Exchange slipped by 1.23% to US$13.63, extending its 4.30% drop from the previous day. Rio Tinto's shares also fell, down by 2.57% to US$95.68.

The sharp drop in the mining equities contrasted with the modest rise in the iron ore benchmark, signaling that investors are increasingly concerned about the projected supply surplus for 2026. China's crude steel output increased by 0.4% year-on-year in June, reaching 83.67 million tonnes, while iron ore imports rose by 6.4% to 112.69 million tonnes, marking the highest monthly level in six months.

Despite this robust short-term demand from China, the medium-term outlook is clouded by a projected surplus of 30-75 million tonnes in 2026, driven by increased production from Australia, Brazil, and Africa. This surplus, combined with a forecasted decline in Chinese steel production, suggests that the iron ore benchmark may stay within the US$95-115 per ton range, with a potential bear-case price of around US$85.

Written by urgent.news from The Rio Times's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

Read the original at riotimesonline.com →

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