Steve Hilton’s Chances of Beating Becerra to Flip California for GOP—Poll
Republicans are hoping to make California competitive in this year's midterms, but a new poll gave Becerra a double-digit lead.
Xavier Becerra currently holds an 18-point lead over Republican Steve Hilton in a recent poll measuring the governor's race in California. The state, known for its high Democratic presence, faces a challenge from Republicans ahead of the November general election. The poll, conducted by the University of California Berkeley Institute of Government Studies and sponsored by The Los Angeles Times, revealed that 55% of Californians intend to vote for Becerra, while 37% support Hilton.
An additional 8% remain undecided. Becerra received backing from 88% of Democrats, while 91% of Republicans pledged their support for Hilton. Among independents, 58% would vote for Becerra and 30% for Hilton. The poll polled 2,310 likely voters between August 3-9, with a margin of error of ±2.5 percentage points. Recent other polls have also shown Becerra with a significant lead, including a Public Policy Institute of California survey showing a 25-point lead and a Kreate Strategies poll showing a 25-point lead.
Prediction markets also favor Becerra, with a 95.5% chance of winning on Kalshi and a 93% chance on Polymarket. Democrats have a significant advantage in party registration in California, with 10,381,340 registered Democrats compared to 5,804,699 registered Republicans. However, Republicans contend that California voters are seeking change due to issues like homelessness and high living costs. Hilton has challenged Becerra to debates, but the scheduling remains uncertain.
Written by urgent.news from Newsweek's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — it may contain errors, so check the original before relying on it.
