Urgent.News

What's breaking now, across thousands of outlets.

Science

Cold, snowy Wyoming winter? Meteorologist questions Farmers’ Almanac forecast

A meteorologist warns against trusting summer's early winter forecasts, labeling them unreliable due to changing atmospheric conditions. Citing last year's inaccurate predictions as a cautionary tale, he emphasizes that while a strong El Niño will impact winter weather, the specifics remain unclear. For more precise predictions, he recommends waiting until mid-to-late September before making any…

Cold, snowy Wyoming winter? Meteorologist questions Farmers’ Almanac forecast

The Farmer's Almanac has forecast a cold and snowy winter for Wyoming, but local meteorologist Don Day insists people should be cautious about the reliability of such long-range predictions made in the summer. Day criticizes the methods used for making early seasonal forecasts, calling them "voodoo magic" and urging caution before trusting detailed winter forecasts released in August.

He argues that many atmospheric conditions that will shape winter have not yet developed, and last year's inaccurate forecasts serve as a cautionary tale. Day notes that a very strong El Niño is expected to be the main influence on the 2026-2027 winter, but the storm track's direction remains uncertain, potentially bringing more moisture and colder weather to some parts of North America while bypassing others.

He compares seasonal forecasting to a chess match, acknowledging that conditions can change as winter approaches, and warns that early forecasts often prove inaccurate. Day plans to wait until late September before releasing his official winter forecast for Cowboy State Daily, emphasizing the importance of patience and skepticism when it comes to detailed winter forecasts.

Written by urgent.news from Times of India's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

Read the original at timesofindia.indiatimes.com →

More in Science

More from Wednesday 12 August →