2026 NFL awards betting, odds: Best bets for MVP, Offensive Rookie of the Year and more
Let's focus on teams that ran cold last year, are better than their record and are due to rebound, but priced like they're still stuck in the mud.
In the world of sports betting, award futures are a popular choice. Every summer, bookmakers revise last year's highlight reel and offer the same MVP and rookie hype at a higher price, tempting bettors to invest in the rerun. Our model focuses on deserved records, actual performances, and expectations. In 2026, most of the favored options sit on teams the model predicts had a tough year but are set to rebound. Here's a breakdown of several NFL award markets, including MVP.
Joe Burrow, QB for the Bengals, is our third-likeliest passing champ. Cincinnati has been underrated, winning six games with a roster deemed playoff-worthy. With Burrow's health, a breakout season is likely, making him a strong buy.
Patrick Mahomes, QB for the Chiefs, shares the same profile as Burrow but faces injury risks. The price of 10-1 doesn't justify the potential reward in my view.
Offensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson, RB for the Falcons, has a higher price at 900, but his consistent performance as the team's star makes him a steal if the Falcons improve. Puka Nacua, WR for the LA Rams, is another clear buy. With the Rams projected as the best team in the league, Nacua's skills and system make him a strong choice.
Jeremiyah Love, RB for the Cardinals, at +300, is another strong buy. Arizona is predicted to rebound, and Love's role as a workhorse in a rising offense aligns well with the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. Lastly, Kyler Murray, QB for the Vikings, at +550, is another buy. Murray's comeback story, combined with the team's offensive improvements, makes him a compelling pick.
Written by urgent.news from Yahoo Sports's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.