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Ukraine’s Drone War Is Breaking Russia’s Fuel Grip on Central Asia

Central Asia’s energy market is experiencing a rapid shake-up thanks to Ukraine’s drone campaign against Russian energy infrastructure. Russia stands to lose leverage and market share in the region over the long term as Central Asian states rush to diversify their fuel-supply options. Repeated Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries have caused the Kremlin to limit exports of fuel products,…

Central Asian nations are grappling with a shifting energy landscape due to Ukraine's drone attacks on Russian energy infrastructure. As Russia's influence wanes, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan are diversifying their fuel supply sources to avoid potential shortages. Kyrgyzstan, previously reliant on Russia for around 90% of fuel, now sources from Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Belarus, and China.

Tajikistan has tripled fuel imports from Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan, while Uzbekistan works to boost domestic production. Both countries are also investing in exploring new domestic energy reserves. In the long term, these changes may leave Russia with a diminished market for its fuel, reducing revenue for the Kremlin.

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