Australia’s falling house prices are actually a good thing for mortgage holders. Here’s why
The RBA’s governor, Michele Bullock, has made it clear that the ‘easing’ property market is on her mind Get our breaking news email , free app or daily news podcast It’s the silver lining that’s not making headlines: falling home prices means another Reserve Bank rate hike is less likely. RBA board members will not be sitting on Monday and Tuesday discussing ways to prop up Sydney house values .…
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) governor, Michele Bullock, has expressed concern over the "easing" property market, but for Australian homeowners, this could be a positive development. Unlike some of her colleagues, Bullock believes falling home prices may prevent the central bank from considering another rate hike in the near future.
The RBA had anticipated a market correction in response to previous rate hikes, but it has eased more than expected since May. This softening in the housing market may be due to recent policy changes around property taxes, the lack of monetary policy response to falling prices, and the general weakening sentiment in the housing market.
While there is no direct monetary policy response to dropping property prices, central bank officials are aware of the secondary effects on the economy. These effects can be categorized as the "wealth effect" and the "turnover effect". The former occurs when property prices rise, making people feel wealthier and more inclined to spend. The latter involves fewer home sales leading to reduced purchases of household goods and services associated with moving.
The weakening housing market also has implications for housing construction, although economists argue that this effect has been mitigated by the government's efforts to increase housing supply. Westpac's chief economist, Luci Ellis, and Challenger's chief economist, Jonathan Kearns, agree that the property market struggles will be taken into account during the RBA's deliberations, albeit with a "very marginal" impact at the moment.
For homeowners who have seen significant price gains over the past few years, falling property values could mean avoiding higher borrowing costs. Despite the recent drop in home prices, mortgage holders have reason to be optimistic about the current situation.
Written by urgent.news from The Guardian's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — it may contain errors, so check the original before relying on it.