Iran thinks it has Trump cornered – but what are the risks?
The Strait of Hormuz is, by some accounts, named for a Zoroastrian deity destined to emerge victorious after a 9,000-year stand-off with an adversary. Iran’s leaders feel their own victory is at hand and will not require the same epic patience. They are betting that military pressure will ultimately force the US to accept their control over the crucial waterway for global energy – and that time…
Iran believes it has cornered US President Donald Trump, but the strategy comes with risks. The Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway for global energy, is seen as a key battleground. Iran's leaders feel confident they can control it and force the US to accept their dominance. Key factors supporting this belief include dwindling US weapons, American public disapproval of the war, and the potential for high oil prices ahead of US congressional elections.
Iran's Houthi allies in Yemen could also intensify the conflict and disrupt trade. Though US strikes have crippled Iran's leadership and military, President Trump maintains a mix of escalating threats and talks. Iran's economy has suffered due to the US blockade, leading to mass protests and a currency crisis. Iran is reportedly close to a deal with Oman, which would formalize its control over the strait, but only if the US halts its actions, lifts sanctions, and compensates Iran for war damage.
Iran's strategy hinges on the ability to deter and maintain regional balance of power, even if it means the Strait remains closed.
Written by urgent.news from South China Morning Post's reporting — not their text. Machine-written; read the original for the full account.
