Konjunktur: BDI: Iran-Krieg dämpft Wachstum weltweit
Der BDI sieht durch den Iran-Krieg einen deutlichen Dämpfer für die Weltwirtschaft und hinterlässt Spuren in Deutschland. Investitionen in KI mildern die Folgen – doch die Unsicherheiten bleiben hoch.
The recent conflict in Iran is significantly dampening global economic growth, according to the German Confederation of Industries (BDI). Initial hopes for a post-holiday economic rebound have been significantly dampened by the ongoing conflict, as highlighted in the BDI's Global Growth Outlook. The BDI forecasts a slight contraction in global growth to nearly 3 percent, down a half percentage point from the previous estimates.
The high investments in artificial intelligence (AI) would have prevented a more significant slowdown. Without the war, the global economy was expected to see growth rates of 3.3 to 3.4 percent (projected for 2025 at 3.2 percent). The BDI anticipates a sluggish growth in Germany, with a real growth of 0.6 percent after a strong second quarter.
"Implementation of investment projects and the reform agenda remains critical to strengthen growth forces in Germany," said BDI CEO Tanja Gönner in the statement. "High global risks and uncertainties remain for companies." The BDI estimates global inflation to rise by nearly one point to over 4.5 percent. Significant regional disparities are apparent: the US is expected to grow by nearly 2 percent, while Europe faces a slowdown at 0.8 percent. China is projected to experience relatively weak growth at 4.6 percent.
Written by urgent.news from Handelsblatt's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
