Three Times I Measured Nothing
Builder Journal · Mars Environmental Dynamics Analyzer (MEDA) Virtual Sensor Recovery Ten times in a row I predicted what my next submission would score before I uploaded it. The worst miss was 0.0025 on a number around nineteen. I took that as confirmation that the physics underneath was correct. It was confirmation that I can do arithmetic. Two days before this competition closed I pointed a…
Three lessons emerged from the "Three Times I Measured Nothing" competition. First, the public leaderboard was narrowly focused on the falling limb of the pressure data, revealing a bias in the evaluation process. Second, a diagnostic test designed to check for inconsistencies in the model's predictions proved ineffective, as it failed to falsify a hypothesis and instead reinforced an incorrect conclusion.
Lastly, the competition underscored the importance of constructing and testing falsifiable hypotheses, as a diagnostic that cannot come out in favor of the hypothesis is not a true diagnostic.
Written by urgent.news from Dev.to's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
