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GBP/USD Price Forecast: Gathers strength for VCP breakout

The British Pound (GBP) trades marginally lower at around 1.3460 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Gathers strength for VCP breakout

As British Pound (GBP) trades at approximately 1.3460 against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, market analysts anticipate a sideways movement in the GBP/USD pair. This forecast is based on the anticipation of U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, set to be released on Friday. Deutsche Bank economists predict a modest increase in employment growth of +65k, surpassing June's +57k figure.

The unemployment rate is expected to stay at 4.2%, although there is a slight risk of it rising to 4.3% if labor force participation improves after a recent decline. Wage and hours data are anticipated to remain steady, with average hourly earnings increasing by +0.3% month-over-month and average hours worked holding at 34.3 hours.

Investors will closely monitor the NFP data, which will impact expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Currently, GBP/USD trades near 1.3460, displaying a slight bullish bias as it remains above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 1.3404. However, the pair is struggling to break through the downward-sloping Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) border at 1.3471.

On the upside, the immediate resistance level is noted at the former trend line break price at 1.3471, with a decisive move above this barrier potentially leading to further upside. The July 15 high at 1.3558 represents a significant hurdle. Conversely, support is seen at the 20-day EMA at 1.3404, followed by the July 28 low at 1.3274.

Written by urgent.news from FXStreet's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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