Casey Mize Aims for Better Fantasy Baseball Output After Being Traded to Padres
The Padres traded with the Tigers for starting pitcher Casey Mize.
In a surprising move at the trade deadline, the San Diego Padres acquired Detroit Tigers pitcher Casey Mize. The starting pitcher is now set to join the Padres' rotation in their hopes of making a playoff push. Fantasy Baseball analysts have weighed in on the impact of this trade. Pitching is largely affected by three key factors: run support, bullpen support, and park factors.
Mize's former team, the Detroit Tigers, have a team wRC+ of 104, which is considered above average. However, the Padres' team wRC+ is significantly lower at 95. The Padres' bullpen WAR is +6.0, the best in MLB, which will likely help offset the poor batting of Mize and the Padres.
Mize's ERA in his 16 starts for the Tigers this year is 2.70, giving him a middling 99-rated Pitching+. Despite this strong ERA, Mize has only managed a record of 4 wins and 6 losses. His strikeout rate is sub-9.0 K/9, which means he offers little win upside.
However, Mize does benefit from his new home ballpark, Petco Park, which allows 3% fewer runs per game than any other ballpark. This improvement in park factors is a net gain for Mize, though it is not massive. Mize currently ranks as about the P79 in fantasy baseball, making him a viable but not high-ceiling fantasy baseball starter.
He will be the Padres' third starter, behind German Marquez and Walker Buehler. The trade was valued as "fair" by BaseballValues on X, with Mize being projected to pitch third in the Padres' rotation.
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