What Midterms Polling Reveals 3 Months Before Election Day
Newsweek has examined 27 midterm races in 19 states that could decide control of Congress, from House toss-ups to Senate battles.
Three months before the midterms, Democrats have a 6-point edge over Republicans in the RealClear Polling Generic Congressional vote, according to Kalshi and Polymarket. Republicans still hold an 86-84 percent chance of retaining the House, while Democrats have an 86-84 percent chance of taking the House. Republicans, however, maintain a 56-54 percent chance of keeping the Senate.
Despite the political climate, Democrats feel confident about taking back control of Congress in November. They argue that voters are resisting Republican policies, as evidenced by Democratic performance in special elections and state legislative races. The Democratic Party has been aggressively organizing and investing in candidates across the country, while Republicans are united on offense with the largest war chest in party history.
Despite the challenges Democrats face, they believe they have a clear advantage in winning over voters with their focus on lowering costs, fighting for working families, and opposing Trump's policies.
Written by urgent.news from Newsweek's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
