Map Shows Trump’s Approval Rating in Every State 3 Months Until Midterms
Data shows the President underwater in every swing state, according to new polling three months before the midterms.
As the November 3 midterm elections approach, a new poll reveals President Donald Trump faces an uphill battle in many states. According to Civiqs' online tracking poll of 120,580 registered voters, Trump is underwater in every swing state, with even small shifts in voter sentiment potentially deciding Congress' control. The poll compares Trump's approval rating on July 30, 2026, with January 20, 2025, his first day in office, calculating net approval as the difference between approval and disapproval.
While Trump's current standing is weaker than it was before his first midterm in 2018, he still enjoys stronger support in conservative-leaning states like Wyoming (+19), North Dakota (+19), West Virginia (+15), Alabama (+13), and Idaho (+13). Conversely, Hawaii (-60), Vermont (-55), Maryland (-52), Massachusetts (-46), and California (-44) are among the states where Trump's net approval rating is lowest.
The poll also highlights demographic divides, with younger voters, women, and college-educated individuals disapproving of Trump's performance more than their counterparts. Trump's strongest states have seen a notable decline since the beginning of his second term, with Wyoming's net approval rating dropping from +47 to +19, and North Dakota from +34 to +19.
These trends suggest that Trump's current position is notably weaker than where he stood before his first midterm election in 2018, with support particularly eroded in red states that were once perceived as solid Republican strongholds.
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