In South Texas, Paxton tests the limits of Trump’s Hispanic coalition

In South Texas, Ken Paxton, the Texas GOP Senate nominee, is attempting to capitalize on President Donald Trump's success with Hispanic voters. During a campaign rally in McAllen, a city nearly entirely Latino, Paxton touted Trump's closure of the border and highlighted the cultural differences between Democrats and Republicans. However, Paxton also criticized Democratic Senate nominee James Talarico for his stance on transgender issues, calling him a "low T" and mocking his views on transitioning boys and girls.

While Paxton's strategy of focusing on cultural issues has worked for Republicans in the past, it's not without consequences. The Rio Grande Valley, where McAllen is located, is experiencing economic strain due to Trump's policies. Deportations have decimated workforces in critical industries like construction, leading to unfinished projects and a slowdown in retail and restaurants.

The overall border squeeze has caused residents, including U.S. citizens, to become increasingly fearful of ICE agents and alter their daily routines.

Despite the economic challenges, a recent POLITICO Poll revealed that 60% of Hispanics believe Trump's mass deportation campaign has been too aggressive. In McAllen, 62% of Hispanics expressed dissatisfaction with the crackdown, with many advocating for a reversal of Trump's policies. Democratic candidates like Talarico and gubernatorial nominee Gina Hinojosa have been more successful in appealing to Hispanic voters by emphasizing issues directly impacting family life, such as the cost of living and healthcare.

The tide may be turning towards Democrats in this competitive Senate race and other races that will determine control of the federal government.