{
  "id": 9159146,
  "title": "ESPN predicts the remainder of FSU football's schedule after Week 3",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/22/espn-predicts-the-remainder-of-fsu-footballs-schedule-after-week-3",
  "topic": "culture",
  "section": "Culture",
  "published": "2026-09-22T16:13:02.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Yahoo Sports",
    "slug": "yahoo-sports",
    "url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/espn-predicts-remainder-fsu-footballs-161302337.html"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "ESPN's updated projections still indicate a chance for Florida State Seminoles to secure bowl eligibility after their Week 3 losses. The Seminoles enter Week 4 with a 1-2 record and a 0-1 ACC standing after consecutive defeats to SMU Mustangs and Alabama Crimson Tide. With nine games remaining, including seven ACC matches and a season finale against Florida Gators, a hypothetical perfect outcome would yield a 6-6 season, marking a marginal improvement from the earlier 5-7 projection.\n\nThe upcoming fixtures include:\n\n1. Sept. 26 vs. Central Arkansas: ESPN predicts a Florida State win with a 99% probability, resulting in a 2-2 record.\n\n2. Oct. 3 vs. Virginia: The Seminoles are favored with a 53.2% win probability, giving them a 3-2 record. Virginia, once favored, now presents a more balanced contest.\n\n3. Oct. 9 at Louisville: A significant shift occurs as FSU faces Louisville, the ACC's stronger team, with only a 25.9% win probability, leading to a 3-3 record.\n\n4. Oct. 17 at Miami: With Miami emerging as a top team, FSU's win chance drops to 8.3%, resulting in a 3-4 record.\n\n5. Oct. 31 vs. Clemson: The Clemson game shows the most surprising projection, with Florida State favored at 64.8%, and the Seminoles projected to have a 4-4 record.\n\n6. Nov. 7 at Boston College: A home game against Boston College presents a 78.7% win probability for Florida State, improving their record to 5-4.\n\n7. Nov. 13 at Pitt: FSU's next challenge includes a 26.3% win probability in a Friday night game against Pitt, presenting another significant hurdle as the team struggles away from Tallahassee.\n\n8. Nov. 21 vs. NC State: This late-November matchup could have postseason implications, with Florida State projected to have a 73.1% win probability, making it a crucial game if FSU aims to secure a bowl appearance.\n\n9. Nov. 27 vs. Florida: Although the rivalry returns to Tallahassee, ESPN still favors Florida with a 30.5% win probability, making it an uncertain final game that could determine bowl eligibility.",
  "summary": "ESPN’s Matchup Predictor forecasts how Florida State’s final nine games could play out as the Seminoles try to recover from a 1-2 start.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 2,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "Yahoo Sports",
        "title": "Projecting rest of Duke football's 2026 season using ESPN FPI rankings",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/22/projecting-rest-of-duke-footballs-2026-season-using-espn-fpi-rankings",
        "published": "2026-09-22T12:01:46.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}