{
  "id": 9081595,
  "title": "Rare Event Estimation via Iterative Unalignment",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/21/rare-event-estimation-via-iterative-unalignment",
  "topic": "ai",
  "section": "AI",
  "published": "2026-09-21T17:53:38.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "arXiv cs.AI",
    "slug": "arxiv-cs-ai",
    "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.24969v1"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": null,
  "summary": "As agents are deployed with increased autonomy, even extremely rare events along their stochastic output trajectories can occur and prove catastrophic. Safe deployment therefore does not depend on whether these events can occur, but on how often they might. We study the problem of estimating the probability of rare events that arise from stochastic variation in the agent's own actions. Estimating…",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}