{
  "id": 9069513,
  "title": "Lula and Bolsonaro statistically tied in potential Brazil runoff, polls suggest",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/22/lula-and-bolsonaro-statistically-tied-in-potential-brazil-runoff",
  "topic": "world",
  "section": "World",
  "published": "2026-09-22T03:16:41.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Daily Maverick",
    "slug": "daily-maverick",
    "url": "https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2026-09-22-lula-and-bolsonaro-statistically-tied-in-potential-brazil-runoff-polls-suggest/"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro are statistically tied in simulated runoffs ahead of next month's election, according to two polls released on Monday. The Quaest poll indicates Bolsonaro leads Lula by one percentage point, with 42% of voter support compared to Lula's 41%. Conversely, the BTG Pactual/Nexus poll shows Lula ahead by one point, with 46% support versus Bolsonaro's 45%. Both polls suggest the candidates are within the margin of error, resulting in a statistical tie. The Brazilian elections are scheduled for October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25 if no candidate secures over 50% of valid votes in the first round.",
  "summary": "SAO PAULO, Sept 21 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro remain statistically tied in simulated runoffs ahead of next month's election, two polls showed on Monday.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 4,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "France 24",
        "title": "'Banking on a national brand': Bolsonaro sons Carlos, Jair Renan run for power in Brazil's south",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/21/banking-on-a-national-brand-bolsonaro-sons-carlos-jair-renan-run-for",
        "published": "2026-09-21T17:46:24.000Z"
      },
      {
        "outlet": "Buenos Aires Times",
        "title": "Milei’s chainsaw inspires Bolsonaro to wield scissors in Brazil election",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/21/mileis-chainsaw-inspires-bolsonaro-to-wield-scissors-in-brazil",
        "published": "2026-09-21T21:38:42.000Z"
      },
      {
        "outlet": "Al Jazeera",
        "title": "Brazil election: Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro tied in latest polls",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/22/brazil-election-lula-and-flavio-bolsonaro-tied-in-latest-polls",
        "published": "2026-09-22T03:03:54.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}