{
  "id": 8199095,
  "title": "Euro: Dollar weakness delayed as Fed stays hawkish – Commerzbank",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/18/euro-dollar-weakness-delayed-as-fed-stays-hawkish-commerzbank",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-09-18T07:26:38.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "FXStreet",
    "slug": "fxstreet",
    "url": "https://www.fxstreet.com/news/euro-dollar-weakness-delayed-as-fed-stays-hawkish-commerzbank-202609180726"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Commerzbank analyst Volkmar Baur reports that the EUR/USD exchange rate has stabilized following the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, with markets now pricing in further rate hikes for December and no cuts until late next year. The bank has revised its forecast, anticipating the Euro to stay around 1.15 through the year-end before climbing to 1.18 by the end of 2027. Market reactions have been positive, as higher Fed rates and increased interest rate expectations over the next twelve months have been taken into account. Long-term interest rates have seen a slight decline since the Fed's decision. Economists have also increased their predictions for another rate hike in December, with the first rate cuts expected in the fourth quarter of next year. This aligns with the general market anticipation, much like their forecast for another key interest rate increase from the ECB in December, which is already included in current market expectations. The EUR/USD rate is expected to remain steady at 1.15 through the end of the year. Although the ECB is expected to make two more rate hikes next year, a future Fed rate cut could weaken the US dollar against the euro. Additionally, US government policies and unpredictability are likely to further pressure the US dollar, justifying a slight risk premium. By the end of 2027, Commerzbank expects the EUR/USD rate to peak at 1.18.",
  "summary": "Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that EUR/USD stabilized after the Federal Reserve’s hawkish surprise, with markets now fully pricing another Fed rate hike in December and no cuts until late next year.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 2,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "FXStreet",
        "title": "Euro: Downtrend extends toward 1.1400 against US Dollar – UOB",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/18/euro-downtrend-extends-toward-1-1400-against-us-dollar-uob",
        "published": "2026-09-18T06:11:11.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}