{
  "id": 8149894,
  "title": "HRI business forecast: growth yes, but Germany's population will still become poorer",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/18/hri-konjunkturprognose-wachstum-ja-aber-deutschlands-bevolkerung-wird",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-09-18T02:03:37.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Handelsblatt",
    "slug": "handelsblatt",
    "url": "https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/konjunktur/hri-konjunkturprognose-wachstum-ja-aber-deutschlands-bevoelkerung-wird-trotzdem-aermer/100251425.html"
  },
  "original_language": "de",
  "account": "Germany's economy has grown surprisingly strongly in the first half of the year. The Handelsblatt Research Institute (HRI) has raised its growth forecast to 1.1% for this year and 1.4% for next year, up from previous estimates of 0.5% and 0.3%. The German export industry has benefited from the global shortage of oil and gas, as it relies on supplies from Norway and the US, unlike its Asian competitors. As a result, exports of goods and services are up 5% year-over-year, with the HRI predicting growth of 3.9% this year and 3.3% next year.",
  "summary": "The signals are pointing to an upswing. And indeed, in the short term, Germany is a crisis winner. However, the structural problems are growing enormously.",
  "key_points": [
    "German economy grew surprisingly strong in first half",
    "Export industry benefits from oil price hikes",
    "Population growth makes citizens feel poorer"
  ],
  "editors_take": "Deutschlands Wirtschaft wächst zwar, aber die Bevölkerung wird trotzdem ärmer, weil die Demografie und massive Aufrüstung den Wohlstand nicht nachhaltig vermehren und das Wohlstandsgefühl vieler Haushalte negativ beeinflussen.",
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}