{
  "id": 791687,
  "title": "Pete Hegseth Odds of Trump Admin Exit Amid USS Lincoln, Munitions Backlash",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/08/13/pete-hegseth-odds-of-trump-admin-exit-amid-uss-lincoln-munitions",
  "topic": "culture",
  "section": "Culture",
  "published": "2026-08-13T17:39:21.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Newsweek",
    "slug": "newsweek",
    "url": "https://www.newsweek.com/pete-hegseth-odds-of-trump-admin-exit-amid-uss-lincoln-munitions-backlash-12319556"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who has faced several controversies, including a month-long crisis on the USS Abraham Lincoln and concerns over dwindling munitions stockpiles, has a relatively low likelihood of being removed from the Trump administration in the near future, according to prediction markets. Kalshi, a market, currently gives him a 4.8% chance of leaving by September 1, up nearly a point from previous trading. Polymarket, a different market, is more cautious with Hegseth's odds at 24% for leaving by year's end and just 3% for August 31. Hegseth is the least popular member of President Donald Trump's Cabinet, with a net approval rating of -22, according to a CNN analysis. The USS Abraham Lincoln crisis and munitions dispute have further strained his position, but prediction markets still see a low chance of him stepping down soon.",
  "summary": "Prediction markets think the defense secretary will remain in the Trump administration despite increased scrutiny.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": "https://urgent.news/ill/791687.png",
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 2,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "TheWrap",
        "title": "Joe Scarborough Skewers Pete Hegseth Amid Munitions and Naval Deployment Crises: ‘Can’t Run From the Truth’",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/08/14/joe-scarborough-skewers-pete-hegseth-amid-munitions-and-naval",
        "published": "2026-08-14T16:52:46.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}