{
  "id": 7888875,
  "title": "Inflation, growth, and exchange rate. How does the 2027 budget compare to last year?",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/16/inflation-growth-and-exchange-rate-how-does-the-2027-budget-compare-7888875",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-09-16T22:19:24.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Buenos Aires Herald",
    "slug": "buenos-aires-herald-buenosaire",
    "url": "https://buenosairesherald.com/economics/inflation-growth-and-exchange-rate-how-does-the-2027-budget-compare-to-last-year"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "The 2027 budget includes several key economic projections, focusing on inflation, exchange rates, and economic growth. The estimates provided by the government are generally more optimistic compared to market analysts. In terms of economic growth, the 2027 budget projects a 3% growth rate for the year, which is significantly lower than the initial estimate of 5% in 2026.\n\nOne of the most notable discrepancies in the 2027 budget projections is the inflation rate. The government had initially predicted an annual inflation rate of 10.1% for 2026, but actual inflation from January to August 2026 had already reached 21.3%. Consequently, the 2027 budget revised the full-year inflation estimate for this year to 29%, which is slightly below the 30% projected by experts surveyed in the Market Expectations Survey.\n\nThe exchange rate is another area where there is a significant difference between the government's projections and the current situation. The Milei administration had anticipated the U.S. dollar to reach AR$1,423 per dollar by the end of 2026. However, the current exchange rate stands at around AR$1,513. The 2027 budget forecasts the official exchange rate to reach AR$1,847.6 by December of the following year, which is higher than the current level of AR$1,513. The Market Expectations Survey anticipates the exchange rate to reach AR$1,630 by December 2027.\n\nThe most significant challenge for the economy lies in the projection of economic activity. The government had initially expected a 5% growth rate in 2026, but the preliminary estimate for the first half of 2027 indicates a year-on-year growth of 1.9%. For 2027, the budget projects a modest 3% growth rate, which is more optimistic than the 2.1% growth estimate by the REM. The official GDP growth figure for the second quarter of 2027, to be released later, will provide a clearer picture of the current economic situation.",
  "summary": "Although the government trimmed its projections, they remain more optimistic than market analysts La entrada Inflation, growth, and exchange rate. How does the 2027 budget compare to last year? se publicó primero en Buenos Aires Herald .",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 2,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "Buenos Aires Herald",
        "title": "Inflation, growth, and exchange rate. How does the 2027 budget compare to last year?",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/16/inflation-growth-and-exchange-rate-how-does-the-2027-budget-compare",
        "published": "2026-09-16T22:19:24.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}