{
  "id": 6761074,
  "title": "Oil: Gradual easing as dark transits grow – Commerzbank",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/11/oil-gradual-easing-as-dark-transits-grow-commerzbank",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-09-11T12:44:29.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "FXStreet",
    "slug": "fxstreet",
    "url": "https://www.fxstreet.com/news/oil-gradual-easing-as-dark-transits-grow-commerzbank-202609111244"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Commerzbank analysts predict that Brent crude oil prices will gradually decline towards pre-war levels as covert tanker \"dark transits\" and diversions boost Gulf supply. By the end of the year, they anticipate transit volumes to recover to approximately 8 million barrels daily and potentially rise to 12 million barrels the following year. Oil products and natural gas, however, will continue to face tighter supply conditions for an extended period. Consequently, the researchers anticipate shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz to gradually return to normal in the upcoming quarters. This gradual de-escalation could, over time, have a similar effect on transport volumes as reaching an agreement. If oil transits continue to increase in the coming year, reaching 12 million barrels daily, the remaining supply gap would narrow to around 5.8 million barrels daily. This reduction would significantly impact the global oil market, potentially driving oil prices back to near their pre-war levels by mid-next year. Prices for petroleum products and natural gas are expected to remain above pre-war levels throughout the coming quarters.",
  "summary": "Commerzbank strategists argue that Brent crude should gradually retreat toward pre-war levels as covert tanker “dark transits” and diversions restore Gulf supply.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}