{
  "id": 625087,
  "title": "How to Verify Consistency of Probabilistic Claims",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/08/11/how-to-verify-consistency-of-probabilistic-claims",
  "topic": "ai",
  "section": "AI",
  "published": "2026-08-11T17:41:39.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "arXiv cs.AI",
    "slug": "arxiv-cs-ai",
    "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.11181v1"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": null,
  "summary": "When a probabilistic predictor answers many conditional-probability queries, are its answers self-consistent, and can this be verified in polynomial time? This problem is of interest for AI safety, where safety is derived from honesty about probabilistic predictions of unwanted outcomes potentially caused by an AI action. We construct an interactive PCP as follows. Let a predictive model be…",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}