{
  "id": 5978569,
  "title": "The 18-Year Housing Cycle Says the Next Market Crash Is Close",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/05/the-18-year-housing-cycle-says-the-next-market-crash-is-close",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-09-05T11:48:34.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Yahoo Finance",
    "slug": "yahoo-finance",
    "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/real-estate/articles/18-housing-cycle-says-next-114834512.html"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Analysts see an 18-year property cycle recurring in the U.S. housing market, which they believe points to a looming market crash. The cycle began around 2011 and is expected to culminate with a peak in 2025-26, followed by a trough around 2029-30. Home prices have risen by 1.5% year-on-year in June, but fell in real terms for the 13th month in a row. New-home sales dropped 10.5% in July, and the median price hit $393,800, the lowest level in five years. Builder confidence stands at 35, far below the neutral 50 line. Key signal provider, D.R. Horton, peaked before the broader market during the last housing cycle and its recent price action strengthens the case for a possible stock-market top around late 2026 or early 2027. If D.R. Horton's stock price breaks below roughly $130, it would support the analyst's forecast. Despite stocks remaining near records, the S&P 500 closed at 7,718.60 on Friday, just 1% below its August 13 record. Fed rate hike odds have climbed to around 60% due to strong August jobs data. Bitcoin has rallied from its July low of $57,700, trading near $79,700 today and has reclaimed its 200-day moving average. The analyst believes Bitcoin can rally further, potentially reaching $120,000 from its July low, though he sees $180,000 as a more challenging target if credit continues to tighten. While some analysts caution against treating the housing cycle as a trading signal, the message remains clear: investors should have a plan in place before credit disappears.",
  "summary": null,
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}