{
  "id": 4118437,
  "title": "Chance of Magnitude 6.8 or Higher Earthquake in Japan’s Kinki Region Excluding Nankai Trough Surges to 60％",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/08/29/chance-of-magnitude-6-8-or-higher-earthquake-in-japans-kinki-region",
  "topic": "science",
  "section": "Science",
  "published": "2026-08-29T05:36:52.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "The Japan News by The Yomiuri Shimbun",
    "slug": "the-japan-news-by-the-yomiuri-shimbun",
    "url": "https://japannews.yomiuri.co.jp/society/general-news/20260829-346132/"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "The Japan government's Earthquake Research Committee has announced an increased likelihood of a magnitude 6.8 or higher earthquake striking the Kinki region, excluding the Nankai Trough, with a 60% probability within the next 30 years. This marks the first time the entire region's risk has been assessed. The committee analyzed 45 active faults, including 24 newly included ones, to determine probabilities across the entire area. This assessment is the fifth of its kind, following similar studies conducted for Kyushu, Kanto, Chugoku, and Shikoku. The Kinki region, sharing the highest risk level with Kanto, boasts the most active faults, making it the most seismically vulnerable. The analysis categorized active faults into four risk levels, with eight designated as \"S\" for a 3% or higher probability of an earthquake. Committee chairman Kazushige Obara urged the public to remain vigilant against both epicentral quakes caused by active faults and the impending Nankai Trough subduction zone earthquake, which carries a 60% to 90% increased risk in the next 30 years.",
  "summary": "SNS: A government committee has announced that probability of a magnitude 6.8 or higher earthquake occurring within the next 30 years in the Kinki region, excluding the Nankai Trough, is as high as 50%-60%",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}