{
  "id": 3449772,
  "title": "USD/JPY Price Forecast: 20-day EMA continues to act as key barrier",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/08/26/usd-jpy-price-forecast-20-day-ema-continues-to-act-as-key-barrier",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-08-26T06:49:37.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "FXStreet",
    "slug": "fxstreet",
    "url": "https://www.fxstreet.com/news/usd-jpy-price-forecast-20-day-ema-continues-to-act-as-key-barrier-202608260649"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "On Wednesday, the Japanese Yen (JPY) rose against the US Dollar (USD), with USD/JPY falling 0.1% to around 159.00. Analysts at Scotiabank anticipate the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will increase policy rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 1.25% during the September meeting. While markets have started to incorporate expectations of near-term policy moves, strategists caution that central bank communication may hold more sway than the September 18 meeting decision itself. The August 17-24 Reuters survey revealed 57% of economists expecting a 25 bps rate hike in September, a significant shift from a July poll where only 5% anticipated such a move. Meanwhile, the US Dollar trades lower before the US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for July, which is set for release at 12:30 GMT. Wells Fargo economists do not foresee any significant surprise in the July inflation data, projecting a 0.1% gain in the PCE deflator in July, bringing the year-over-year rate to 3.6%. They also anticipate core PCE inflation to rise 0.2% on the month, maintaining the annual rate at 3.3%, indicating a gradual easing of price pressures. In the daily chart, USD/JPY is trading at 159.08, below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 159.46, indicating bearish short-term bias. The pair has retreated from recent highs and now sits under this short-term trend gauge, suggesting topside pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 44 is slightly negative but not oversold. If USD/JPY manages to close above the 20-day EMA at 159.46, it could alleviate the current downside bias and open the door for a recovery toward higher levels.",
  "summary": "The Japanese Yen (JPY) trades higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, with USD/JPY dropping 0.1% to near 159.00. The Asia-Pacific currency gains amid firm expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike policy rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 1.25% in the September meeting.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 2,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "FXStreet",
        "title": "USD/CAD Price Forecast: Bearish indicators keep the path tilted lower",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/08/25/usd-cad-price-forecast-bearish-indicators-keep-the-path-tilted-lower",
        "published": "2026-08-25T17:56:36.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}